Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1255.848346 1419.359045 1598.579733 1810.000658 2053.100737 2324.467694 2651.159752
2025-12-21 963.681155 1174.081710 1424.778290 1747.155138 2153.070686 2650.295701 3310.205329
2025-12-28 849.856653 1090.216991 1393.649807 1808.241388 2365.242509 3095.123187 4136.201087
2026-01-04 758.069543 1013.136460 1350.346770 1834.240389 2519.750463 3469.575892 4908.880727
2026-01-11 683.058845 945.036549 1305.224809 1844.277062 2643.795829 3806.995027 5666.626850
2026-01-18 622.029399 887.136216 1264.431604 1850.573070 2756.442496 4133.847879 6446.480275
2026-01-25 582.520948 854.500411 1254.211220 1897.301294 2930.571689 4569.185136 7453.197319
2026-02-01 546.007874 821.680642 1238.859978 1931.986239 3086.420043 4990.409908 8493.601608
2026-02-08 511.130578 787.369915 1216.779890 1951.707108 3217.329884 5382.732840 9537.463936
2026-02-15 481.042665 757.371818 1197.867636 1973.158760 3351.291399 5793.376586 10672.228106
2026-02-22 457.861005 736.116409 1190.547010 2012.303459 3518.790837 6281.669732 12026.285346
2026-03-01 421.231987 689.271646 1136.059420 1962.779356 3518.822665 6458.133946 12784.655789
2026-03-08 386.628265 643.642101 1080.717616 1907.972616 3506.140551 6615.071243 13542.718274
2026-03-15 353.668555 598.316665 1022.233222 1841.829478 3464.672265 6710.989767 14188.708208
2026-03-22 343.657226 592.424473 1033.060842 1906.615156 3687.516478 7370.597394 16199.212582
2026-03-29 329.135783 577.134127 1025.257654 1934.198914 3837.480485 7896.387509 17993.068441
2026-04-05 313.598318 558.681051 1009.862414 1944.847957 3952.679742 8361.082844 19722.322318
2026-04-12 298.864065 540.543374 993.448682 1951.528312 4059.615302 8820.715948 21522.642987
2026-04-19 290.305306 533.431987 997.629701 2001.113980 4266.670093 9539.496740 24137.846019
2026-04-26 280.847744 523.816601 995.977104 2037.925380 4448.874810 10224.441565 26798.864284
2026-05-03 270.344464 511.333749 987.481723 2058.857334 4596.350304 10844.634049 29404.079102
2026-05-10 260.732311 499.913356 980.193708 2081.628024 4750.773357 11504.421265 32264.747933
2026-05-17 253.494767 492.774215 981.191777 2123.184100 4956.182544 12327.537245 35805.160798